Comments on: the highway is for gamblers, better use your sense http://www.intelligentdesign.com.au/blog/2007/02/15/the-highway-is-for-gamblers-better-use-your-sense/ a blog about things Tue, 02 Aug 2011 06:31:04 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: erin http://www.intelligentdesign.com.au/blog/2007/02/15/the-highway-is-for-gamblers-better-use-your-sense/comment-page-1/#comment-89 erin Thu, 15 Feb 2007 03:16:52 +0000 http://www.intelligentdesign.com.au/blog/2007/02/15/the-highway-is-for-gamblers-better-use-your-sense/#comment-89 i have been watching a lot of question time this last week or so (what? ive got insomnia - it helps put me to sleep) and my perception is that JH is slowly but surely starting to crack under the pressure. KR knows exactly how to get under his skin and get him riled up enough that he makes a fool of himself time and time again. It really makes for great late night viewing.... It is my perception that the libs are running scared because they know the ALP has got them by the balls over so many issues, you can literally see the frustration on JH's face. KR is relentless in his pursuit to highlight just how out of touch JH is and i love that about him - as do a lot of people i speak to. I agree that the ALP are in with more than a chance this year provided they can come up with the goods policy wise - and i believe they are already starting to do that. I also believe that the greater public have grown immune to the Libs and their political scare-mongering and would go so far as to suggest any attempts to do so this time around would prove to be the final nail in their coffin. But then again, that's my uneducated opinion and im a bit of an optimist when it comes to things like this, so only time will tell i guess. great blog. love your work ;) i have been watching a lot of question time this last week or so (what? ive got insomnia – it helps put me to sleep) and my perception is that JH is slowly but surely starting to crack under the pressure. KR knows exactly how to get under his skin and get him riled up enough that he makes a fool of himself time and time again. It really makes for great late night viewing….

It is my perception that the libs are running scared because they know the ALP has got them by the balls over so many issues, you can literally see the frustration on JH’s face. KR is relentless in his pursuit to highlight just how out of touch JH is and i love that about him – as do a lot of people i speak to. I agree that the ALP are in with more than a chance this year provided they can come up with the goods policy wise – and i believe they are already starting to do that. I also believe that the greater public have grown immune to the Libs and their political scare-mongering and would go so far as to suggest any attempts to do so this time around would prove to be the final nail in their coffin. But then again, that’s my uneducated opinion and im a bit of an optimist when it comes to things like this, so only time will tell i guess.

great blog. love your work ;)

]]> By: Andrew Leigh » Blog Archive » Andrew Leigh has a lot to answer for http://www.intelligentdesign.com.au/blog/2007/02/15/the-highway-is-for-gamblers-better-use-your-sense/comment-page-1/#comment-87 Andrew Leigh » Blog Archive » Andrew Leigh has a lot to answer for Thu, 15 Feb 2007 02:03:09 +0000 http://www.intelligentdesign.com.au/blog/2007/02/15/the-highway-is-for-gamblers-better-use-your-sense/#comment-87 [...] I just noticed (via A Roll of the Dice) this comment from Mumble*: February 9 Betting markets and the genius of punters Centrebet is paying $1.90 for a Labor win and $1.80 for a Coalition one. These (I think) are shortest Labor odds (ie longest Coalition ones) since around September/October 2001. Andrew Leigh has a lot to answer for. This “the betting public is better at predicting election results than opinion polls!” shtick has become a standard roll-out for journos and commentators; SMH today two pieces on or alluding to it. (See also Simon Jackman’s take.) You know, the punters, who had the Coalition at over $3.00 in early 2001, but changed their minds when the government took the lead in opinion polls later in the year. Not too bright in early 2001 (or for most of the 2005 WA campaign), were they? Or the dills who on New Zealand’s election day in 2005 had the Nationals winning? All these positions were based, mainly, on whatever the polls said at the time. The punters are sheep who reflect the current received wisdom, which is usually correct, but sometimes wrong. B-a-a-a-a-h. I’ll follow my own judgement, thanks. [...] [...] I just noticed (via A Roll of the Dice) this comment from Mumble*: February 9 Betting markets and the genius of punters Centrebet is paying $1.90 for a Labor win and $1.80 for a Coalition one. These (I think) are shortest Labor odds (ie longest Coalition ones) since around September/October 2001. Andrew Leigh has a lot to answer for. This “the betting public is better at predicting election results than opinion polls!” shtick has become a standard roll-out for journos and commentators; SMH today two pieces on or alluding to it. (See also Simon Jackman’s take.) You know, the punters, who had the Coalition at over $3.00 in early 2001, but changed their minds when the government took the lead in opinion polls later in the year. Not too bright in early 2001 (or for most of the 2005 WA campaign), were they? Or the dills who on New Zealand’s election day in 2005 had the Nationals winning? All these positions were based, mainly, on whatever the polls said at the time. The punters are sheep who reflect the current received wisdom, which is usually correct, but sometimes wrong. B-a-a-a-a-h. I’ll follow my own judgement, thanks. [...]

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